Tuesday, August 30, 2005

Chavez' Master Plan?

From Petroleumworld.com - speculation on what long-term goals Chavez might have:

Chavez's "Master Plan"


Hugo Chavez is winning the energy war in Latin America. His three goals are
very simple. He wants the following:

-- to drive Petrobras and Brazilian influence out of Bolivia;

-- to drive Occidential Petroleum and US influence out of Ecuador; and

-- finally, to convince China to displace the US as Venezuela's
primary energy partner
,

Complete article by Scott Sullivan here.

That first "objective" makes some sense.

Brazil through Petrobras - which is partially State-owned- has been a critical player in developing Bolivia's natural gas industry in the 90's. They funded a good chunk of the construction of the pipeline from Bolivia to Sao Paulo, a move that was controversial (in Brazil) at the time. The expense was justified by Brazil's long established plans to rely much more on natural gas, and wean itself off oil. It also served a foreign policy goal of assisting its neighbor Bolivia, hopefully stabilizing it. And it further reinforced the strategic partnership Bolivia had with Brazil, that had started in earnest under Banzer to the detriment of the Argentinians.

For Chavez, promoting instability in Bolivia, creates trouble for Brazil/Petrobras. Chavez suddenly has more leverage vis a vis Brazil through his close relationship with the "Social Movements" in Bolivia. But there probably is a less ideological or geo-political reason behind this. If Bolivia is too uncertain a supplier of natural gas, who better than Venezuela? After all the country is the holder of the largest gas reserves in the Continent, and is a neighbor.

13 comments:

Anonymous said...

1: look at the source. A corporation minion scared because his toys might be affected. If you would think a little, your tiny brain might actually work. maybe you should try it, instead of watching sorts your whole life.

2. If this is true, MAYBE it would be good news. Someone actually showing initiative and making it hard for the empire to rape and sack the economies of south america

3. frankly, I don't know which one is worse. let's see we have 2 countries, one claims to be the good guy and he rapes you, the other, wants to get i the game of raping the smalelr ones too.. but it doesn't give a damn about appearances and rapes you too. Who knows maybe the mor honest one should be give a chance.

I don't like China, but so far the empire has kept South america and the rest fo the third world screwed. maybe we need change.

Of course this will make you angry, why? because you are an ignorant.

Read something boli, at least soemthing.

Anonymous said...

Hey ignorant,

Read this to get educated:

"Last week George Bush, echoed in the Guardian by Clinton’s former intelligence adviser Philip Bobbitt,(2) compared the drafting process in Baghdad to the construction of the American constitution.(3) If they believe that the comparison commends itself to the people of Iraq, they are even more out of touch than I thought. But it should also be obvious that we now live in more sceptical times. When the US constitution was drafted, representative democracy was a radical and thrilling idea. Now it is an object of suspicion and even contempt, as people all over the world recognise that it allows us to change the management but not the firm. And one of the factors that have done most to engender public scepticism is the meaninglessness of the only questions we are ever asked. I read Labour’s manifesto before the last election, and found both good and bad in it. But whether I voted for or against, I had no means of explaining what I liked and what I didn’t."

"How to Stop Civil War"
by Monbiot

More here if your little brain doesn't explode.

Anonymous said...

Now that I come to think of it, an idiot can read all the books in the world and still remain an idiot. Right boli? YOU ARE the perfect example of that. You read (besides your sport crap) all these little articles that seem to corroborate your obtuse idology, but still the light bulb never lights up. You are the perfect idiot.

Boli-Nica said...

heheheehe, the lemmings are riled up!!!

Short bus must have been pretty quick in getting you kids back home!

Funny stuff.
One of you (or one of Anon's many multiple personalities) sounds just like those brainwashed little kids the Senderistas used to parade around little towns. Are you from Ayacucho by any chance?


The anti-democracy quotation is just plain weird and completely irrelevant to this post Are we having a meltdown today?

Your "true colors" showing through? Well, the red was a gimme - that comes with stupidity. The control-freak anti-democratic fascist?




Lastly,

Anonymous said...

eh, bolinic, you should read monbiot's link, it may help you get out of your ignorance.

Anonymous said...

Your "true colors" showing through? Well, the red was a gimme - that comes with stupidity. The control-freak anti-democratic fascist?

Thinking in terms of colors?
Oh I see, your ignorance only allows for simple shapes and simple colors to understand the world.

In your primate head, if there is ANY variation from what your beloved Bush calls democracy, then it becomes "anti-democractic" -- you are more pathetic than we thought!--I must be a terrorist!!

Maybe I should type the word "terrorist" here so that your heroes come and check you out! LOL...!

You're funny, caveman!

Anonymous said...

For newbies to this blog, go here first:

Move on

and/or here

Corporate Reality

and/or here

Monbiot

Boli-Nica said...

Wow, you guy(s) are some serious haters!!!


Take a deep breath, and tell yourself * that it is all right.



* Yes, that means ALL of the personalities that inhabit that sociopathic mind of yours, so "Bukkake Judy" is included.

Anonymous said...

Hey ignorant,
I think you should start hiding just about now, your anti-christ Chavez and his evil forces might begin shipments of cheap oil to poor sectors in the US! OOHHH AHH scary!!!!!!

Your corporate masters must be peeing in their pants, go wipe their pants off, they are your masters after all. LOL!!

You fool

Boli-Nica said...

Anonymous said...

Hey ignorant,
I think you should start hiding just about now, your anti-christ Chavez and his evil forces might begin shipments of cheap oil to poor sectors in the US! OOHHH AHH scary!!!!!!

Your corporate masters must be peeing in their pants, go wipe their pants off, they are your masters after all. LOL!!

You fool

Do you talk like that in person?

LMAO, you are cartoon-character funny. A Lemming Leftist version of Ren from Ren & Stimpy.

Anonymous said...

...actually ignorant, I have to write at a low level so that YOU understand.

Anonymous said...

I can only laugh at those who actually believe in Chavez....Chavez is the back-stabber who was crying for Brazil to send a shipment of oil so it could keep it supplies running, and then backstabbed Brazil by siding up with Morales. Now at the OPEC meeting in Caracas this week-end, he actually said that (the biggest cartel in the world) OPEC is actually an Anti-imperialist organization.
Meanwhile, the situation for the poor in Venezuela gets worse and worse.
gets worse and worse

Anonymous said...

Chavez is a dangerous, anti-democracy clown just like Fidel and Evo Morales.